Asheville, July 28, 2025
News Summary
Asheville is expected to experience an unusually warm winter with temperatures over 3 degrees above historical averages and minimal snowfall, following forecasts from AccuWeather and NOAA. The upcoming winter is likely to resemble an extended fall, with projections indicating only three days of wintry weather events prior to mid-February. The first substantial snowfall is anticipated on February 1, 2025. These predictions highlight a major shift from the historical winter norms observed in the region.
Asheville Sees Predictions for Warm Winter Ahead and Minimal Snowfall
Asheville is on track for a warm winter in 2024, according to forecasts from leading meteorological organizations including AccuWeather and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Following a brief bout of chilly weather in mid-November, these predictions suggest that what lies ahead may closely resemble an extension of fall rather than a traditional winter.
AccuWeather reports indicate that temperatures in Asheville could surpass historical averages by over 3 degrees, a phenomenon supported by expected climatic influences such as climate change and the ongoing La Niña weather pattern. NOAA maps further substantiate this trend, suggesting a 40% to 60% likelihood that average winter temperatures will remain elevated across the state from November through January.
Last winter was characterized by minimal snowfall, with Buncombe County seeing only one substantial snow event. That occurred on January 18, 2024. Additionally, AccuWeather anticipates that Asheville will experience its first significant snowfall of the winter season only on February 1, 2025, projecting temperatures of a high of 47 degrees Fahrenheit and a low of 20 degrees Fahrenheit.
The overall forecast for the coming winter season indicates that Asheville will have just three days of potential winter weather events, including snow, ice, or sleet prior to February 12, 2025. This concise prediction means that residents and visitors can largely expect dry conditions throughout much of the winter months.
Historical Context
To provide context to the current forecasts, Asheville winters historically show an average temperature of 41.4 degrees in December, with around 2.5 inches of snowfall. January typically sees an average temperature of 38.7 degrees, with an average snowfall of 3.6 inches, while February averages 42.1 degrees with about 1.9 inches of snow. The anticipated warmer climate this winter is in stark contrast to these historical averages.
The factors contributing to the predicted winter warmth are complex, primarily revolving around the observed La Niña conditions and warmer-than-average sea temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico. These atmospheric changes are expected to result in a milder winter for Southern states, including North Carolina.
In summary, residents of Asheville should prepare themselves for a winter that is likely to feel more like an extended fall. The chances of encountering heavy snowfall seem slim, and overall warmer temperatures should define the season leading into early 2025.
Key Weather Predictions for Asheville 2024
- Expected Average Temperature Increase: Over 3 degrees above historical averages
- Number of Significant Snow Days: Only three days predicted with snow, ice, or sleet until February 12
- First Projected Snowfall: February 1, 2025, with highs of 47°F and lows of 20°F
- Previous Winter’s Snow Event: Only one significant snow occurrence on January 18
- Historical Average Temperatures and Snowfall:
- December: 41.4°F (2.5 inches of snow)
- January: 38.7°F (3.6 inches of snow)
- February: 42.1°F (1.9 inches of snow)
FAQ
What are the key predictions for Asheville’s winter 2024?
AccuWeather predicts a warm winter with temperatures potentially over 3 degrees above historical averages, minimal snowfall, and only three expected days of snow, ice, or sleet until mid-February.
When is the first expected snowfall in Asheville?
The first projected snowfall for Asheville is on February 1, 2025, with expected temperatures ranging from a high of 47°F to a low of 20°F.
How does this winter’s forecast compare to historical averages?
This year’s forecast indicates significantly warmer temperatures and less snowfall compared to historical averages in Asheville—where December usually averages 41.4°F with 2.5 inches of snow, January averages 38.7°F with 3.6 inches of snow, and February averages 42.1°F with 1.9 inches of snow.
Chart of Key Features
| Month | Average Temperature (°F) | Average Snowfall (inches) |
|---|---|---|
| December | 41.4 | 2.5 |
| January | 38.7 | 3.6 |
| February | 42.1 | 1.9 |
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Additional Resources
- AOL: See Snow in North Carolina
- AVL Today: Winter Weather Forecast for Asheville, NC
- WLOS: Winter Storm Snow Wednesday Expected Impact
- Wikipedia: Climate of North Carolina
- Google Search: Asheville Weather Forecast
Author: STAFF HERE ASHEVILLE WRITER
The ASHEVILLE STAFF WRITER represents the experienced team at HEREAsheville.com, your go-to source for actionable local news and information in Asheville, Buncombe County, and beyond. Specializing in "news you can use," we cover essential topics like product reviews for personal and business needs, local business directories, politics, real estate trends, neighborhood insights, and state news affecting the area—with deep expertise drawn from years of dedicated reporting and strong community input, including local press releases and business updates. We deliver top reporting on high-value events such as the Asheville Bread Festival, LEAF Festival, and mountain sports tournaments at Biltmore Estate. Our coverage extends to key organizations like the Asheville Area Chamber of Commerce and Explore Asheville Convention & Visitors Bureau, plus leading businesses in hospitality and brewing that power the local economy such as the Biltmore Estate and Sierra Nevada Brewing Company. As part of the broader HERE network, including HERECharlotte.com, HEREGreensboro.com, HERERaleigh.com, and HEREOBX.com, we provide comprehensive, credible insights into North Carolina's dynamic landscape.
